Green Building to Continue Growth Trajectory, Dodge Green Report Shows

Nov. 16, 2012
The U.S. green building market continues to accelerate, according to McGraw-Hill Construction’s 2013 Dodge Construction Green Outlook report.

The U.S. green building market continues to accelerate, according to McGraw-Hill Construction’s 2013 Dodge Construction Green Outlook report. The value of green building has seen growth from $10 billion in 2005 to $78 billion in 2011. In 2012, the total market — non-residential and residential — is expected to be worth $85 billion, and by 2013, overall new green building is projected to rise to between $98 billion and $106 billion. By 2016, this number is expected to reach $204 billion to $248 billion.

According to the report, Green building remains a bright spot in a still uncertain economy. Green is expected to represent 44 percent of all commercial and institutional construction in 2012, growing up to 55 percent by 2016. Residential green construction is also on the rise. It is expected that by the end of 2012, green homes will comprise 20 percent of the market, and in 2013 a 22- to 25-percent share by value is expected, equating to a $34 to $38 billion opportunity. By 2016, this share by value is expected to increase to 29 to 38 percent — an estimated $89 billion to $116 billion — based on the current single-family residential construction forecast.

“We’re seeing tremendous growth in green building, providing a bright light in an otherwise uncertain economy,” said Harvey Bernstein, vice president, Industry Insights and Alliances for McGraw-Hill Construction. “Not only does this mean a strong outlook for green building, but also the benefits that go along with that: more jobs, greater financial benefits from green and high performance buildings, stronger competitive positioning for those firms that build green, and healthier work and learning environments for our population.”

According to the study, one third of all home builders in the U.S. expect to be fully dedicated to building green by 2016. Green construction jobs are following the green building market; 35 percent have green jobs today.

A green building is defined as one built to LEED or an equivalent standard, or one that is energy-and water-efficient that also addresses improved indoor environmental quality and/or resource efficiency.

The 2013 Dodge Construction Green Outlook is produced by a staff of researchers, economists and analysts, drawing from its Dodge project database, its construction market forecasts, proprietary market research, and secondary research, as well as extensive data and trend analysis.